Decision Theory
ثبت نشده
چکیده
Decision theory seeks to establish general principles of rationality to guide decision makers in situations involving risk or uncertainty. It is a vibrant subject covering many academic disciplines with numerous subspecialties. I cannot hope to do justice to even a small portion of the recent developments in a piece of this length, so I will confine my attention to what I see as the threl most fruitful areas of active research. The first concerns the normative status of the subjective expected utilip (SEU) model that has dominated studies of rational choice for more than fifty years. The second involves dynamic decision making in which an agent makes a series of interconnected choices over time. Lastly, I will briefly discuss the renewed importance of decision theory within the theory of games.
منابع مشابه
Application of Rough Set Theory in Data Mining for Decision Support Systems (DSSs)
Decision support systems (DSSs) are prevalent information systems for decision making in many competitive business environments. In a DSS, decision making process is intimately related to some factors which determine the quality of information systems and their related products. Traditional approaches to data analysis usually cannot be implemented in sophisticated Companies, where managers ne...
متن کاملRough sets theory in site selection decision making for water reservoirs
Rough Sets theory is a mathematical approach for analysis of a vague description of objects presented by a well-known mathematician, Pawlak (1982, 1991). This paper explores the use of Rough Sets theory in site location investigation of buried concrete water reservoirs. Making an appropriate decision in site location can always avoid unnecessary expensive costs which is very important in constr...
متن کاملAn extended hesitant group decision-making technique based on the prospect theory for emergency situations
Throughout the present manuscript, we are going to introduce a novel group emergency decision-making technique in which the application of prospect theory explains the psychological behaviour of the decision maker who is affected by the hesitancy and uncertainty of cognition in decision making problems.\Instead of usual aggregation procedure, we implement here a new fusion technique that ...
متن کاملRanking Efficient Decision Making Units Using Cooperative Game Theory Based on SBM Input-Oriented Model and Nucleolus Value
In evaluating the efficiency of decision making units (DMUs) by Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) models, may be more than one DMU has an efficiency score equal to one. Since ranking of efficient DMUs is essential for decision makers, therefore, methods and models for this purpose are presented. One of ranking methods of efficient DMUs is cooperative game theory. In this study, Lee and Lozano mod...
متن کاملA New Multi-Criteria Decision Making Based on Fuzzy- Topsis Theory
Abstract— In this paper, a new extended method of multi criteria decision making based on fuzzy-Topsis theory is introduced. fuzzy mcdm algorithm for determining the best choice among all possible choices when the data are fuzzy is also presented. Using a new index leads to procedure for choosing fuzzy ideal and negative ideal solutions directly from the fuzzy data observed alternatives.in this...
متن کاملRisk management in urban tunnels using methods of game theory and multi-criteria decision-making
In general, underground spaces are associated with high risks because of their high uncertainty in geotechnical environments. Since most accidents and incidents in these structures are often associated with uncertainty, the development of risk analysis and management methods and prevention of accidents are essential. A deeper recognition of the factors affecting the implementation process can p...
متن کامل